Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 101.595766 115.884430 132.218010 152.437668 177.028592 206.270444 2.441380e+02
2025-04-13 81.068740 98.861291 121.181176 151.843495 193.872524 251.047495 3.376835e+02
2025-04-20 71.951334 91.863389 118.526111 158.064113 217.500181 307.760743 4.647854e+02
2025-04-27 67.155379 89.067750 120.070127 169.220489 249.588729 385.207864 6.570023e+02
2025-05-04 60.295322 82.121030 114.226819 167.660636 260.739829 431.378690 8.162990e+02
2025-05-11 55.592634 77.543041 110.994181 169.236833 277.016559 491.546552 1.039543e+03
2025-05-18 50.871673 72.301144 105.888096 166.543527 284.569455 536.722163 1.257942e+03
2025-05-25 47.677066 69.027982 103.441145 167.935103 300.148441 604.913196 1.596120e+03
2025-06-01 44.639290 65.660982 100.369706 167.563092 311.896938 668.858386 1.986048e+03
2025-06-08 41.670602 62.109106 96.544875 165.079161 318.394231 722.252405 2.402135e+03
2025-06-15 40.387827 61.227157 97.269973 171.656868 347.389182 852.693950 3.364787e+03
2025-06-22 37.371479 57.131556 91.755861 164.535468 341.351842 873.913721 3.801937e+03
2025-06-29 35.389227 54.848235 89.683180 165.169518 357.457563 985.349128 5.148547e+03
2025-07-06 33.413674 52.436312 87.164347 164.576356 370.825089 1099.965065 7.012020e+03
2025-07-13 32.473421 51.778194 87.920648 171.512790 408.001348 1342.015275 1.172548e+04
2025-07-20 32.130896 52.164725 90.768807 183.976290 467.372108 1755.967556 2.488287e+04
2025-07-27 30.480635 49.957556 88.066214 182.231737 480.164105 1950.363276 3.876399e+04
2025-08-03 29.287703 48.521456 86.814874 183.994574 506.186652 2263.680473 7.381674e+04
2025-08-10 27.809898 46.423252 83.940360 180.982737 513.865767 2472.923427 1.273690e+05
2025-08-17 26.810240 45.185798 82.808303 182.538658 540.238407 2874.889580 3.287852e+05
2025-08-24 25.743686 43.738661 81.071554 182.122664 558.860333 3259.931345 1.038276e+06
2025-08-31 24.594851 42.050906 78.643650 179.345969 566.677887 3571.106360 4.249344e+06
2025-09-07 24.199009 41.856898 79.590663 186.702406 623.975447 4598.404592 NaN